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The real foreign interference threat is on your phone

Worrying about Russian or Chinese interference is so 2023. Today, the real risk of foreign interference in our democracy is coming from social media — and it's only going to get worse. Photo by Daniel Oberhaus via Flickr (CC BY 2.0)

It seems almost quaint now. When the Hogue Inquiry was established on Sept. 7, 2023, many Canadians rightly wondered if foreign interference by state actors in our political system was a problem — and if so, how big. After 39 days of public hearings, dozens of panels and policy round tables, and testimony from more than 60 experts and over 100 active participants in our political system, Justice Marie-Josée Hogue has delivered her findings. They confirm what the last few months have made abundantly clear: the problem is far bigger in scope and scale than we dared to imagine.

No, the Hogue Report didn’t find evidence of any traitors in our parliamentary midst. "While the states' attempts are troubling and there is some concerning conduct by parliamentarians,” she wrote, “there is no cause for widespread alarm.” This essentially confirms what Green Party leader Elizabeth May said back in June after reviewing the classified version of the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) that found evidence of “witting and unwitting” participants in foreign influence schemes but nothing that rose to the level of disloyalty or treason. As the Hogue Report said, "the phenomenon remains marginal and largely ineffective."

What it did find is proof — as if we needed more — that the real vector for foreign influence and meddling is the social media platforms we interact with constantly, and where we consume an ever-greater proportion of our news and information about the world. "The greatest threat, the one that I believe threatens the very existence of our democracy, is disinformation,” she said in a press conference announcing the report. “This threat is all the more nefarious because the means available to counter it are limited, and very difficult to implement.”

Foreign actors, be they Chinese and Russian governments or their domestic proxies, understand this clearly. “They are increasingly sowing disinformation, in traditional media but above all on social media,” she said. “Distinguishing what is true from what is false is becoming increasingly difficult, and the consequences are, in my view, extraordinarily harmful.” 

They’re not the only ones who understand this, though. So do right-wing politicians and the tech billionaires that enable them. Elon Musk effectively weaponized his social media platform on behalf of Donald Trump and the Republican Party, using his power over its algorithms to boost or hide people, ideas and stories to turn it into a massive in-kind donation that helped transform the way American voters understood the election. He’s since turned his attention on voters in the United Kingdom and Germany, where he’s embraced Nigel Farage’s Reform UK Party and the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), and will almost certainly be looking to influence Australia’s elections in the spring. 

This is a very different kind of foreign interference than what Justice Hogue was tasked with studying. There is no subterfuge, no quiet diplomacy, and certainly no operating in the shadows. Musk isn’t trying to hide his desire to interfere with other people’s democracies the way he did in America. If anything, he’s practically bragging about it. 

Rest assured, Canada will be included in his list of targets. His disdain for the current government is palpable, and he now serves as the unofficial co-president in an administration that has repeatedly floated the idea of annexing Canada if it doesn’t get what it wants. This isn’t just mere foreign interference, then — it’s a campaign of weaponized digital propaganda that’s designed to soften up our mental defences and weaken our collective resolve. We would do well to start acting accordingly. 

That has to begin with protecting Canadians from these sorts of hostile foreign incursions. As Justice Hogue wrote in her report, “to build resilience against foreign interference, misinformation and disinformation, efforts must focus on supporting a healthy information environment and on rebuilding and maintaining trust in our public institutions.” Those efforts have to include much larger investments in our intellectual and cultural defences, whether by bolstering the few remaining news organizations that still trade in facts or expanding and increasing our shared digital media literacy. 

They might also need to include examining the role of foreign-funded or foreign-owned media in our political discourse, whether that’s obvious propaganda outlets like the Epoch Times or more mainstream publications like Postmedia. Forcing them to be fully owned by Canadians would, at the very least, ensure that the people pulling the purse strings weren’t conflicted by their own domestic political objectives — and that Canadians weren’t at risk of being sold a narrative about their country that actually serves the interests of a different one. 

No, the Hogue Report didn't find any evidence of traitors in our midst. Instead, it may have found something even worse — an environment where the unchecked spread of misinformation and disinformation is poisoning people's minds.

And yes, these efforts should include restricting the ability of social media platforms to spread disinformation and misinformation. I have no doubt that the self-described “free speech absolutists” out there would object to the idea of this sort of gatekeeping. But some gates need to be kept, especially when they have barbarians massing at them. Yes, they would call the government that did this socialist or fascist or communist, ideological consistency be damned. Let them. 

More to the point, let Canadians see how others respond here. Would the leaders of all our political parties agree to support efforts to improve our informational ecosystem and prevent its deliberate pollution by bad-faith foreign actors? Almost certainly not. Would they embrace efforts to support the production of factual news, improve online media literacy and help Canadians better sort fact from fiction? I doubt it. 

That’s the conversation we should be having right now. It’s time for Canadians to see who wants to protect our democracy from foreign interference and who is actually looking to benefit from it. And it’s time for us to understand that the real threat of foreign interference is hiding in plain sight. 

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